Friday, December 11, 2015

2.10 Tell me what you know about Dreamin' Dreamin', Tell me what you know about Night Terrors Every Night

1. a. He had no experience or knowledge on political campaigns
    b. He would have to let go of his business, which he invested most of his life into

2. She had name recognition before her campaign, she knew what she was doing, and she had recognized, strong work ethic.

3. It's over 9,000!! actually it's more like a million dollars

4. This would primarily be for cable tv ads and direct mail.

5. He would need a media strategist, a fundraising consultant, an election lawyer, a direct mail consultant, and a campaign treasurer.

6. He wanted the Jewish vote from his district by representing how he was Jewish as well.

7. Jewish people, people 65 years or older, and people 50 years or older comprise most of his voting demographic.

8. He raised $130,000 in the first four days.

9. It helped him receive more funding for his campaign and more recognition as well.

10. He raised $517,000 in 46 days. He lost. Yeah... anticlimactic 

Friday, December 4, 2015

2.9 I'm Packing Up and Goin' to Mars, and When I Get There Ima Bounce

1. 8 minutes and 3 seconds (Ball so hard Mr. Mansfield wanna find me yo)

2. Advisory committees and Non Legislators drop influential opinions, but officially it is done by a nonpartisan state agency.

3. 13th- 14% Republican 86% Democratic
 14th- 16% Republican 84% Democratic

4. The 1st even breaks even with a 50/50 (OH what am I s'posed to do when the best part of me was always you- get it? get it?)

5. It is the least compact congressional district in 'Murica and it has a large democratic majority

6. Three districts are controlled by democrats. This is a minority compared to the other fifteen Republican districts, but the state still voted democrat in the presidential election.

7. the 3rd 9th llth and 13th districts are controlled by democrats

8. It is 100% Republican

9. John Boehner was from there. They drew it this way to get the guarantee that he would be elected.

10. None of them were hard, but Pennsylvania was easily the most annoying.

Friday, November 20, 2015

2.7 I Know You Were Trouble When You Walked In (Silly Democrats)

1. Organizes and schedules the Democratic party's primary debates,

2. The debates are likely to be held on days with the highest viewership. They do not happen on the nights with the least viewership, Saturday and Sunday, but they do happen on the nights with the most viewership, which is currently Thursday.

3. Republicans schedule their debates on dates that have been known to have very high viewership, but the Democrats have only scheduled one debate on Thursday.


4. Democrats have debates scheduled on a Saturday, six days before Christmas, which is also a Saturday,and the Sunday night of Martin Luther King Day weekend. Their debates are basically just badly planned according to statistics, that is if they are looking for viewership anyway.

5. Since the debates are on low viewership days, Hilary gets less bad press coverage. She also gets to solidify support coming in to her from moderates, while also not giving her competitors a real chance to one up her per se.

6. Bernie Sanders won't get as much exposure or attention, since their is less viewership on the days of the debates. This gives him less publicity he needs to get the edge over Hilary.

7. A lot of Sander's support is not originating from viewers of the debates anyhow, so the negative impact will not be that large. Most of his support, especially from the younger supporters will still thrive through online social networking and media.

8. Barely anyone knows much about O'Malley, much less that he is still even in the race. So without this publicity, he is deader than he already is. In other words, it is extremely hard/bad for him, but does it really matter though? Like, does it really matter though? Like, does it really matter though? (Childish Gambino Voice)

Friday, November 13, 2015

2.6 All These Lights, They Can't Blind Me... Nobody Can Drag Trump Down

1. The other candidates have to have equal opportunity to have time on air that is not news or interview related.

2. They can ask to be on air for free to get their own messages out to voters.


3. If they rerun the episode, then that is more air time that Trump is getting, thus they have to offer that much more free air time to all of the other political candidates running against trump as well.


4. Section 315(a) does not really ask broadcast stations to cover political candidates, but if a candidate is on the air, then stations are required to offer the same to all the rivals of the candidate.


5. The original intention was to make the elections fair and promote debate, but instead the doctrine actually pulls away from the candidates and often ends up roadblocking the good debates that could ensue regularly.


6. Bona fide news events are  broadcasts or documentaries, and under section 315a, the media station is not obliged to give any other candidate anything in addition for these. The FCC also decided that political debates would fall under this category.


7. The FEC has a broad media exemption that allows programs about political candidates. If the FEC decides that a canidate's air time does not meet its regulations, then it can claim the appearance was a campaign contribution or expenditure. This would add up, and lead to reaching contribution limits faster, disclosure requirements and possible fines would also be negatively affected. The FEC can do this by themselves, without having to us the 315(a) clause at all.

Sunday, November 8, 2015

2.5 All I Feel is Pain, Surviving on my Own, All I Feel is Pain, Surviving on my Own (know the struggle)

1. The RNC was unhappy with the treatment of NBC moderators against the GOP candidates through the use of unfair tactics and biased questions.

2. The Republican Party has the power to cancel Republican Primary Debates for any reason they feal is unfair.


3. My Favorite Quazi Insult

Addressing Jeb Bush, Harwood asserted, "The fact that you're at the fifth lectern tonight shows how far your stock has fallen." He continued: "Ben Bernanke said he no longer considers himself a Republican because the Republican Party has given into know-nothingism. Is that why you're having a difficult time in this race?"


4. Jonah Goldberg says that the Democrats are treated as the social norm. The media unprofessionally has bias towards them and against republicans. Often times, Republicans are treated as outcasts and asked unfair questions and such, and the media is congratulated for this treatment by viewers and democratic activists.

5. Republican Party and Republican presidential campaigns control the 
Republican primary debates . They choose who will be the host for and moderate the candidate debates.

6. Conservatives often feel that the media is rooting against them. Republican presidents since Nixon have been skeptical of the media. There has been longstanding hostility between the Republican party and many major Republican media outlets.

7. The media has too much power in modern politics for the Republican Party to isolate itself from it. The Republicans also need to pick up the independent, moderate, and swing votes from people through the media.

8. I think the candidates, for the most part would follow orders because they would want the approval and endorsement of their party, making he more supported by followers of the party, and giving them a slightly better chance at getting the seat within the party. The benefits of this would likely outweigh the possible consequences of what would happen if they went against their party, for a little more media attention.


9. The advantages would be more fairness in their media, since the republican party would be involved in it, it would also include the party's approval and support, and a higher chance of getting the endorsement and final vote from the party's officials.

10. The disadvantages would be less media attention, the loss of a chance to earn swing votes, and the loss of a real chance to show political knowledge by having to go through tougher, and maybe more biased opposition in debates and questions.

Friday, November 6, 2015

2.4 Shawty's like a Melody in My Head That I Can't Keep Out Got Me Singing Like (Jeb Jeb Jeb Jeb)

1. Bush's campaign has the most endorsements, the most money, the better-known candidate, and he is displayed as the major front-runner of the race

2. Bush's campaign is negatively effected by his struggle in the polls recently, and his fundraising is decreasing because his campaign is struggling with money, and has to cut back, to keep going.


3. Marco Rubio is a better general election candidate since he is a dynamic speaker and he takes risks, and he impresses staffers on both sides of the aisle who've worked with him. Rubio has a better chance than Bush against Clinton according to polls.

4. Bush struggles a lot with hard questions directed towards his opinions and decisions of his brother such as invading Iraq. His plans for immigration reform are very underdeveloped, causing him to fade on this issue.  He also struggles with understanding Clinton's campaign strategy.


5. Bush would only drop out to endorse Rubio so that a unelectable candidate like Trump would be dead in his tracks.Although Rubio does have a good chance at beating Bush, Bush should not be underestimated in the amount of support he can rally, using his money, connections, and political knowledge.

Thursday, October 29, 2015

2.3 You Say You in the Game, but I Yet to See You Play, You Say You Goin' Hard, but Nobody Feels the Same (yeah Paul Ryan...)

1. The hard-liners essentially want to use routine but critical pieces of must pass legislation to help secure ideological concessions from the White House (debt ceiling bills, government funding bills etc.).

2. The pragmatists say it is essentially unlikely that Obama will compromise on core issues in order to maintain the basic functions of government. If the republicans tried to use a strategy like that it would make them seem like a joke.

3. Paul Ryan wanted family time as well as relief from the traditional fundraising obligations. His other demands were the backing of all GOP subcaucuses and he wanted to curb the use of procedural motion. (He didn't really get his way with that last one)

4. He suggests that the relationship will be very similar to Boehner's relationship to the hardline conservatives, since he has not done a lot different, to set the relationship up differently beforehand.

5. Ryan will lose his credibility that he has built up for being a visionary. Over time, his covering for the timids' timidity will ruin what he has built up, and he may not seem like a big ideas guy anymore.

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

2.2 Oh Lord, know yourself, know your worth, My actions been louder than my words, How you so high, but still so down to Earth (#Politicians)

1. 70% of state legislatures, 60% of governors, 55% of attorneys general and secretary of state are all held by Republicans. They also control both chambers of Congress.

2. They are confident they will keep the power that they do have. They are more focused on how to use that power to get what they want. The democrats are torn apart as well, and the republican party is at least organizing itself.

3. They are the fundamental building blocks of American Politics. This is the level where the greatest level of electoral entrenchment is possible since they run the redistricting process for the House of Representatives and themselves.

4. Only seven states are under unified democratic control.

5.A) An unprecedented wave of restrictions on abortion rights. 
   B) spread of union-hostile "right to work" laws in the great lake states 
   C) curbs on voting rights to further tilt the electorate in a richer, whiter, and older direction
   D) large scale layoffs of teachers and other public sector workers who are likely to support democrats

6. The Democrats probably have between 11 and 15 percent of the population under their style of government. (California is 10% of population, next largest is Oregon with about 1%)

7. The GOP has some idealogical flexibility.It is more difficult to get people to commit to fully democratic ideals. The type of commitment necessary of people from the Democratic party is the largest reason it is more likely to inherently fail. This means that the Republicans who have the advantage, will more likely keep winning state legislature. (Also refer to #3 for another reason-redrawing of boundaries)

8. The Republicans have two basic plans to push their agendas. 
     a) do nothing and hope for better luck in the democratic party messing up
     b) shift left on immigration to get some Latino votes while retaining the core of the party's commitments

Not "amazing plans", but they will work.

   The Democratic agenda is to win the presidency, since it must be pretty easy. Taking it so easy will cause problems (and maybe a loss) especially if the Republicans draw more votes. The democrats are steadily shifting farther to the left not carefully assessing the implications of these shifts on the voters. The democrats are also showing much more interest in seeing who they prefer, a far left candidate or a pretty far left candidate, and they are not considering what to do to have either candidates policies passed when they are in power.

9. Hispanic voters have the key to help republicans win the presidential election, without changing any core issue opinions. If the republicans have a majority in all of the government it will be easier to pass all types of policies.

10. same-sex marriage, gun control, taxes, minimum wage, child care, and parental leave

Thursday, October 22, 2015

2.1 All My Life I want Money and Power (Trump and Lamar share something in common)

1. Party Insiders are the most important in deciding the nominee for the president. They use their power to push the candidate they want to be the nominee, and they often get their way.

2. They were trying to discredit Trump in front of a large audience in order to get rid of the possibility of him becoming president.

3. "Dissatisfaction and palpable anger with the current state of the party" is driving the Republican voters.

4. He seemed like the most likely candidate to win since he got 2nd in 2008, and he was already getting major endorsements from party figures. Since he was the one the party wanted to won, he won.

5. If their was a candidate who was a clear winner in the pre-Iowa endorsements and won the nomination, then the party would likely choose this candidate. Party insiders clearly backed one candidate before Iowa.

6. The party is not uniting on anyone specifically yet. Jeb Bush has gotten some endorsements, but it is such little that is hardly matters.

7. More recent trends suggest that the voters are the largest determinant in who gets nominated because the party elites are more often following voters.

8. Influencing the primary calendar, changing the ballot qualification requirements, and limiting the number of debates are some ways they can have influence, but these methods often have heavy, unintended consequences. Another way is interventions directed at a specific candidate, which may lead to voter backlash. Also, another big way to influence is through subliminal support for a candidate as well as outright support for a candidate with an endorsement, which cues some voter to vote for that candidate.

9. In contrast with the democrats, a majority of the GOP thinks that the party leadership is doing a bad job of presenting the views of the party, and its people.

10. As we get closer to the election, voters more often start to look at electability of a candidate. Trump's arrogant and volatile personality, may cause himself to fail. In the second debate, his true ignorance of many issues was revealed. In any case, there is a long time left for Trump to fail and lose support, which will likely happen.

Thursday, October 8, 2015

1.1 D O L L H O U S E I See Things That Nobody Else Sees (except for Boenher)

1. It was a thankless, exhausting job. Boehner was stuck in a partisan and institutional dynamic, which also pushed him to leave. (He does not want to get involved with a possible coming fight about another government shutdown.)
2. "the majority party members decide among themselves who their nominee is and then vote for him or her in a block. The majority party's leader, in short, becomes speaker." (this is generally the process, and it will be the process this time as well)3.He repeatedly cut deals with the Obama administration that his members would vote against. (Conservatives felt he could have done more)4. In essence, federal funds are indirectly supporting the availability of abortions in America.5. Recently, they threatened Boehner. It looked like it was going to fail, but Boehner is resigning beforehand anyway. (so they were just starting to take action, and we are not sure what took them so long)6."To achieve more things, Boehner believed, correctly, that conservatives need a Republican president who will sign laws, appoint judges, and issue executive orders. Under the circumstances, they ought to be avoiding extreme tactics that only make winning the White House harder" (Conservatives feel that enough is not being accomplished, but Boehner knows there has to be a healthy medium for a Republican to have a shot at the executive seat. If they can get a president, then a lot more can be accomplished.)7."Kevin McCarthy, the California Republican who replaced Cantor as the No. 2 guy in the GOP leadership, is the odds-on favorite to replace Boehner." I believe Kevin McCarthy will be less successful then Boehner because as he goes in, he is already put in a highly tense situation. It will be harder for him to get a start then it was for Boehner. Also, even though there have been no remarkable differences distinguished yet, if this candidate is any less willing to fight to negotiate, or more crowd influenced than Boehner, then he will immediately lose leverage that Boehner always maintained. This helped him have his thoughts and opinions voiced (and accepted to a degree) even by Democrats.