Thursday, October 22, 2015

2.1 All My Life I want Money and Power (Trump and Lamar share something in common)

1. Party Insiders are the most important in deciding the nominee for the president. They use their power to push the candidate they want to be the nominee, and they often get their way.

2. They were trying to discredit Trump in front of a large audience in order to get rid of the possibility of him becoming president.

3. "Dissatisfaction and palpable anger with the current state of the party" is driving the Republican voters.

4. He seemed like the most likely candidate to win since he got 2nd in 2008, and he was already getting major endorsements from party figures. Since he was the one the party wanted to won, he won.

5. If their was a candidate who was a clear winner in the pre-Iowa endorsements and won the nomination, then the party would likely choose this candidate. Party insiders clearly backed one candidate before Iowa.

6. The party is not uniting on anyone specifically yet. Jeb Bush has gotten some endorsements, but it is such little that is hardly matters.

7. More recent trends suggest that the voters are the largest determinant in who gets nominated because the party elites are more often following voters.

8. Influencing the primary calendar, changing the ballot qualification requirements, and limiting the number of debates are some ways they can have influence, but these methods often have heavy, unintended consequences. Another way is interventions directed at a specific candidate, which may lead to voter backlash. Also, another big way to influence is through subliminal support for a candidate as well as outright support for a candidate with an endorsement, which cues some voter to vote for that candidate.

9. In contrast with the democrats, a majority of the GOP thinks that the party leadership is doing a bad job of presenting the views of the party, and its people.

10. As we get closer to the election, voters more often start to look at electability of a candidate. Trump's arrogant and volatile personality, may cause himself to fail. In the second debate, his true ignorance of many issues was revealed. In any case, there is a long time left for Trump to fail and lose support, which will likely happen.

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